This morning on “This Week,” FiveThirtyEight.com editor-in-chief and ABC News special contributor Nate Silver of ESPN made his ABC News debut, offering his thoughts on the elections taking place this week and the 2014 midterms. This Week, ABC News Breaking News Read more »
If the shutdown didn’t hurt Republicans now, what about the 2014 midterms?
There has been a lot of talk about the possible electoral consequences of the government shutdown. And while the 2014 midterm elections are still a year away, we have two elections in 2013 that can serve as test cases of sorts. In both the New Jersey special Senate and Virginia […] Read more »
Chris Christie’s broad appeal sets up historic win in New Jersey. And then?
The fact that no one is talking about Chris Christie’s re-election campaign for New Jersey governor is about the most significant thing you can say about it. Many analysts, including this one, thought that Christie’s post-Sandy approval bump would ebb, so that we might get an at least somewhat competitive […] Read more »
Omen or Not? What off-off year elections tell us about the future
We can all guess the final result in New Jersey this November, and at this point most observers are less certain about Virginia’s, although we currently rate Terry McAuliffe (D) as a small favorite over Ken Cuccinelli (R). … But the truly sure thing about the two gubernatorial contests set […] Read more »
Christie shines, as other governors struggle
Chris Christie may be the most popular governor in America. He is certainly the most popular governor in the nine states where Quinnipiac regularly polls. While other first term governors are around the 50 percent job approval mark or lower, Christie consistently hovers around 70 percent approval. … What’s most remarkable […] Read more »
Capt. Mark Kelly claims near-unanimous support in New Jersey for expanding background checks for guns
Near unanimous support in polls isn’t exactly a frequent occurrence. And it may be even more rare when the topic in question is one of the most controversial in this country: gun control. … “Polls show that 96 percent of New Jerseyans – and 95 percent of gun households in […] Read more »