… Should a Republican win in Virginia — where polls have been inconsistent but show only a 3 or 4-percentage-point lead for Democrat Ralph Northam, on average — be cause for Democratic panic? Should Democrats get any credit for a double-digit win in New Jersey (as seems likely based on […] Read more »
Signs and Portents: What we’ll be looking for in Virginia and New Jersey on Tuesday
In an off-year long on election commentary but short on actual elections, the two main events on a Spartan political calendar are now upon us: New Jersey and Virginia will elect new governors next week, and the stakes are high, particularly for Democrats. … To get ready for next week, […] Read more »
What will Democratic Wins in NJ and Virginia Mean?
It’s increasingly likely that Democratic gubernatorial nominees Phil Murphy in New Jersey and Ralph Northam in Virginia will win their elections next month. Murphy has a huge lead over GOP nominee Kim Guadagno and is a slam dunk for November. Northam has a more narrow but consistent advantage over Republican […] Read more »
The first real electoral test of the Donald Trump era is on the horizon
For all of the attention to this year’s House of Representatives special elections, November’s gubernatorial races in New Jersey and especially Virginia will likely offer a more revealing measure of how Donald Trump’s presidency is reconfiguring the political landscape. … With his bristling nationalist message and repeated gestures toward white […] Read more »
New Jersey Democrats: Growing certainty at the ballot box, but not in the courtroom
Ever since comfortably winning the Democratic gubernatorial nomination in June, former Ambassador to Germany Phil Murphy has seemed like a towering favorite to succeed term-limited Gov. Chris Christie (R) as New Jersey’s next governor. … More interesting than this gubernatorial race, though, is the ongoing trial of Sen. Robert Menendez […] Read more »
New Jersey: Murphy leads Guadagno by double digits with many undecided
Democratic nominee for New Jersey governor Phil Murphy leads incumbent Republican Lt. Gov. Kim Guadagno by 42-29 percent, according to a new Fox News Poll of registered voters in the Garden State. But 19 percent remains undecided — including 14 percent of Republicans, 16 percent of Democrats, and 33 percent […] Read more »