… The real importance of the Democratic victories in Virginia (and New Jersey, and in scattered locations elsewhere) is not that they tell us much that we don’t already know. Instead, they are just a few more data points confirming one of the most dependable rules in American politics: the […] Read more »
Voters’ concern about health care boost Northam, corruption a top issue for NJ voters
Pushback against President Donald Trump helped lift Democrats to governorships in the two highest-profile U.S. elections since the 2016 presidential contest. … In Virginia, voters by a 2-1 margin said they were casting their ballot to show opposition to Trump rather than support for him. In New Jersey the margin […] Read more »
Early Exit Polls: (Almost) Everybody Hates Christie
Early exit poll results in today’s race for New Jersey governor confirm: Chris Christie is the least popular governor in America. CONT. NBC News Read more »
NBC News Early Exit Polls: Trump Not a Factor in Governor Races
One of the key questions about today’s gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey is whether or not these races are a referendum on President Trump. Of course, he is not on the ballot today and we do not know yet which candidates have won or lost. But we asked […] Read more »
The most important things we’ll learn on Election Day 2017
The governor’s races in Virginia and New Jersey usually receive heightened attention because they are the first big statewide races (except for special elections) after a new president takes office. But after all the tumult of Donald Trump’s first months as president, this year’s focus is even more intense — […] Read more »
After a Tough 2016, Many Pollsters Haven’t Changed Anything
A year after polls broadly overestimated Hillary Clinton’s strength in the decisive Rust Belt battleground states, top pollsters and analysts across the survey industry have reached a broad near-consensus on many of the causes of error in the 2016 presidential election. But so far, public pollsters — typically run by […] Read more »