The 2020 primary has gone off the rails. Joe Biden, the semi-anointed front-runner, placed fourth in Iowa and is poised to post another disappointing finish in New Hampshire. Pete Buttigieg, the former mayor of South Bend, Ind., has outlasted more experienced, promising upstarts such as Kamala D. Harris, Beto O’Rourke […] Read more »
Amy Klobuchar’s boomlet clogs the moderate lane
Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar could be having a New Hampshire moment. Klobuchar seems to be gaining support ahead of Tuesday’s vote in the Granite State. Her jump in the polls may have an unexpected beneficiary: Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, who looks to benefit from a division among moderate voters. CONT. […] Read more »
The 2020 Democrats All Have the Same Problem
Like last week’s muddled Iowa caucus, tomorrow’s New Hampshire primary may reveal as much about the limits of the leading Democratic candidates as it does their strengths. The results from Iowa, polls in New Hampshire, and surveys of Democrats beyond those states all point toward the same conclusion: So far, […] Read more »
Bernie Sanders leads in final CNN New Hampshire tracking poll
Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders holds on to his lead on the eve of New Hampshire’s Democratic primary, the final CNN tracking poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center shows. In the final numbers, 29% of likely primary voters say they back Sanders, 22% back former South Bend, […] Read more »
The First Town to Vote
New Hampshire is the first state to vote in the primaries, and for years Dixville Notch claimed to be be the first township to vote in the nation, casting their ballots at midnight. … Jack Rodolico and investigative reporter Casey McDermott uncover the history of this midnight vote, and explain […] Read more »
Beware of the Polls
As the Democratic race shifts into high gear and the fallout from the impeachment trial settles in I have a respectful and heartfelt cautionary admonition about polling data: Caveat emptor. Let’s begin with Iowa. Not one poll before the Iowa caucuses accurately captured what was happening. Most of the closing […] Read more »