The New Hampshire primary is usually known as the graveyard of pollsters, but not this year. In this case, the polls generally got it right. As predicted, businessman Donald Trump and Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vermont, carried the night by double-digit margins over their competitors. And that’s just one of the […] Read more »
Both parties now have their outside candidate and their inside candidate
The Republican voters, the Democratic voters, and the Independent voters of New Hampshire did in 2016 what they’ve been doing for decades; they shaped the race for president and cemented the narrative that has been emerging all year. As a result, we now have two parties that are offering up […] Read more »
PredictWise: New Hampshire Recap
New Hampshire happened exactly as expected with Donald Trump and John Kasich finishing first and second in the Republican primary and Bernie Sanders winning the Democratic primary. … Marco Rubio’s finish is a failure and a confirmation that his poor debate performance on Saturday, February 6 was interpreted poorly by […] Read more »
Primary Exit Polls Show Terror Fears Aided Trump and Young Voters Helped Sanders
Two-thirds of New Hampshire Republican primary voters agree with Donald J. Trump’s proposal to temporarily bar Muslims from entering the United States. And they overwhelmingly express fear of another terrorist attack. On the Democratic side, young voters and those most concerned about inequality and political integrity gave Bernie Sanders a […] Read more »
Pushback Against the Political Order Boosts Both Trump and Sanders in N.H.
A powerful pushback against the established political order lifted Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders alike in New Hampshire, underscoring deep splits both within and between the Republican and Democratic parties. Trump was boosted to victory by broad support among voters seeking a political outsider, anger at the federal government, strong […] Read more »
For Polls, New Hampshire Brings Redemption After Failure in Iowa
Polling in the New Hampshire presidential primary accurately forecast victories by Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Bernie Sanders, a reversal from earlier this month when surveys failed to predict voters’ behavior in the Iowa caucuses. … The accurate calls were especially significant because New Hampshire’s primary is a famously tough […] Read more »