The first two nominating events of this election cycle, Iowa and New Hampshire, produced different winners in both parties. Why? It wasn’t an intervening event or an issue that played importantly in one locale but not the other. Some claim the differences derive from the varying demographics of the two […] Read more »
Hillary Clinton Needs To Win The Voters She Lost In 2008
Just as in 2008, Tuesday’s New Hampshire’s primary created an “a-ha moment,” illuminating the contours of each Democratic candidate’s coalition. It’s becoming increasingly apparent that Hillary Clinton is relying on a coalition that looks almost the opposite of the one she assembled in 2008. Eight years ago, she prevailed among […] Read more »
Three of the Missing Storylines from Iowa and New Hampshire
There are just some basic things that have really struck me that do not seem to be getting a lot of attention. The tables below talk about turnout and have an observation about 18 to 29 year old voters. CONT. Bill McInturff, Public Opinion Strategies Read more »
Charlie Cook on the New Hampshire Primary
… Cruz has locked up the conservative lane and Trump has the populist; the establishment/conventional wing of the GOP remains badly splintered. Rubio had a chance to break away from the pack in New Hampshire, but blew it with his performance in the last debate. … Apparently Clinton is about […] Read more »
New Hampshire Takeaways: Trust, Experience and Message Count
More than half a million voters cast ballots in the New Hampshire primary on Tuesday, rewarding Donald J. Trump and Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont with resounding victories, and sending some candidates home to rethink their campaigns. But the results also tell much about the electorate and the challenges the […] Read more »
Trump’s Two Victories in New Hampshire
Donald Trump won twice in New Hampshire last night: once because he transcended many of the Republican Party’s historic divides, and a second time because the voters most resistant to him remained fragmented. With his commanding New Hampshire win, Trump demonstrated again that his maverick appeal has replaced many of […] Read more »