With only eight days to go, the New Hampshire Democratic primary is wide open, with a close race for the lead and a large share of likely voters who say they could still change their mind, according to a new poll released today. U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders is at the […] Read more »
2020 Democrats Are Bringing Butter Knives to a Gunfight
Heading into tonight’s Iowa caucus, the clock may be ticking faster on the Democratic presidential candidates than they believe. All of the leading contenders have campaigned energetically and extensively across the state during the past few days, but none have moved to sharply contrast themselves with their rivals. … Inherent […] Read more »
Bernie Sanders climbing in new NH poll on eve of Iowa caucuses
Bernie Sanders continues to lead his Democratic rivals in New Hampshire just hours before the Iowa caucuses, which could hand him a crucial victory in the first contest of the race, a new Franklin Pierce University-Boston Herald-NBC10Boston poll reveals. Sanders has boosted his support in the Granite State to 31% […] Read more »
Zero Hour: A look at the polls heading into the Iowa caucuses
After months of anticipation, the Iowa caucuses are just days away. On this week’s episode of our podcast, Poll Hub, we look at the recent polls of Iowa and analyze some disparate results. Plus, the American Association for Public Opinion Research cautions journalists about jumping to poll conclusions following the […] Read more »
With Iowa and New Hampshire still up in the air, Democratic race has 2016 echoes
… Given the wildly conflicting polls (and the difficulty in polling caucus attendees), we still can’t be certain who’ll win Iowa, what the order of finish will be or what the margins between candidates will look like. So there is a lot up in the air. On the other hand, […] Read more »
The Media Expectations Game Usually Hurts Nomination Front-Runners, But Not in 2020
The history of presidential nomination politics suggests that it’s a mixed blessing for a candidate to be considered a front-runner by the national media heading into the primary and caucus season. Of course, it’s better to be doing well in polls and fundraising, the usual metrics of pre-primary success, than […] Read more »