The Only (Other) Poll That Matters? Exit Polls and Election Night Forecasts in BBC General Election Results

This article examines the role of results forecasts and exit polls in BBC general election night broadcasts from 1955 to 2017. Despite the substantial role played by academics in results programmes, in devising forecasts and analysing results as they emerge, academic literature on election night broadcasts is scant. This article […] Read more »

How Social Psychology Influences Political Behavior

Individual reactions to the coronavirus pandemic and the public health restrictions that have accompanied it have underscored how powerful negative partisanship can be in the formation of political opinions. In past crises, national shocks have urged partisans to put aside their personal grievances in pursuit of the greater good, but […] Read more »

In back-to-back tweets, Trump shares a fake poll number and dismisses a real poll number as fake

… For more than a year, Trump’s just occasionally shared random assessments of his popularity within his party, never offering any explanation for where the figure came from. … Unlike any real poll number, the figure never goes down, only up. This is as good a sign as any that […] Read more »

Trump has successfully flattened the curve — on Republican concern about contracting coronavirus

It has consistently been the case that the speed at which the U.S. economy returns to normal depends heavily on the confidence Americans have in the safety of doing so. Polling from Quinnipiac University released Wednesday shows there’s still a great deal of reticence about resuming normal activity, with only […] Read more »

Americans Who Rely Most on White House for COVID-19 News More Likely to Downplay the Pandemic

As the COVID-19 crisis continues to command Americans’ attention, views of the media’s performance and details about what people have seen or heard differ substantially depending on which sources they rely on most for news and information about the pandemic. Among five groups of news consumers examined for this report, […] Read more »