Prominent Republicans have called for Roy Moore to abandon his Senate run as another woman comes forward to say he assaulted her as a teen. Can the Alabama candidate weather these accusations of wrongdoing? Amy Walter of The Cook Political Report and Tamara Keith of NPR join Judy Woodruff to […] Read more »
Trump won, and Northam crushed Gillespie. Why believe polls ever again?
Back in 1962, Elmo Roper, a pioneer in public opinion polling, identified a problem in his field. “A preference for certainty over doubt, for the plausible over the proved, for drama over accuracy, for hunch and intuition over the hard-to-assemble facts, is a common human tendency,” he wrote. Fifty-five years […] Read more »
The Fox News Voter Analysis Exit Poll – Not a sterling launch
As reported here this past Monday, Fox News decided to launch its own exit poll for Tuesday’s election, abandoning the media consortium it had worked with since 1998. Called “The Fox News Voter Analysis,” the reported purpose of this new venture was to provide a faster prediction of election outcomes […] Read more »
Rising concerns about American democracy
Our October 2017 survey results demonstrate rising concerns about American democracy over the past month. From September to October, ratings worsened on every dimension except civil violence. Further, democracy experts still see American political behavior in 2017 as firmly outside the norm for consolidated democracies. On average, experts rate a […] Read more »
The State of Free Speech and Tolerance in America
Nearly three-fourths (71%) of Americans believe that political correctness has done more to silence important discussions our society needs to have. A little more than a quarter (28%) instead believe that political correctness has done more to help people avoid offending others. CONT. Emily Ekins, Cato Institute Read more »
Mueller’s Investigation Won’t Shake Trump’s Base
On Monday, nothing changed. If you live, as I do, in the heart of Trump country, you know there is no chance that the indictment of Donald Trump’s ex-campaign chairman Paul Manafort, or the guilty plea of a former foreign policy adviser, George Papadopoulos, will alter our political dynamics. Mr. […] Read more »