Why Trump may not see a sustained political boost from Baghdadi’s death

… We have a recent moment that seems as though it should provide some useful guidance on this question: the 2011 raid that resulted in the death of 9/11 mastermind Osama bin Laden. President Barack Obama’s approval rating rose seven points over the course of a week, driven in part […] Read more »

CNN Poll: Most Americans are concerned about Syria and think it’s likely ISIS will reemerge

Three-quarters of Americans are concerned about the situation in Syria and many see a reemergence of ISIS as likely following recent changes in US policy, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS. But the country is divided over how to proceed. Just over half (51%) think the US […] Read more »

Trumping peace and prosperity

In 1952, Republicans successfully urged Americans to “Vote for peace; Vote for prosperity; Vote for Ike” (Eisenhower). Even before then, those two sets of issues — peace and prosperity — have been paramount in presidential elections and our politics more broadly. That seems to be changing, at least temporarily. CONT. […] Read more »

What Americans really think about US policy toward Syria, Iran, and Afghanistan

The following is based on new findings from two consecutive University of Maryland Critical Issues Polls, conducted September 3-20, and October 4-10. … From the day President Trump announced his decision to withdraw troops from northern Syria, which we started measuring on October 7, support for his move was low, […] Read more »

The foreign policy Americans really want

Donald Trump’s election — and his vitriol against his predecessors, former policymakers and his opponents — led many internationalists to retreat and voluntarily undergo an American version of Mao Zedong’s self-education campaign. Yet it turns out that the American public, when asked, evidences a great deal of common sense about […] Read more »