Presidents have historically seen a bump in their approval ratings during a military crisis, but the partisanship that has gripped the country in recent years has stunted that traditional bump in the polls. That evidence suggests President Donald Trump’s approval rating — which has lingered in the lower to mid […] Read more »
Majority of Americans disapprove of Trump’s handling of Iran, feel less safe after strike
In a week dominated by increased tension with Iran and speculation over when impeachment articles would be delivered to the U.S. Senate, a majority of Americans said they disapprove of President Trump’s handling of the situation with Iran and feel less safe, according to a new ABC News/Ipsos poll. But […] Read more »
Trump’s abrasive personality might help him win reelection — if voters feel it’s a dangerous world
… Pundits and commentators often suggest that Donald Trump was elected despite negative coverage. Voters, according to conventional wisdom, want leaders who are likable — the kind of person you could have a beer with. In this view, if Donald Trump gets reelected, his voters must be closing their eyes […] Read more »
Iran, Impeachment, and Iowa
Between the events unfolding in Iran and the Iowa causes, there’s a lot to digest this week. Astead Herndon of The New York Times and Clare Malone of FiveThirtyEight join Politics with Amy Walter to provide an update on the state of the Democratic Primary. Plus, Thanassis Cambanis of the […] Read more »
And Then There Were Five…
In our first episode of 2020, we preview the seventh Democratic primary debate. Plus, we discuss the role endorsements and fundraising play in predicting the ultimate primary winner, and how the developing situation in Iran might influence the 2020 race. The Forecast Fest Read more »
How the Public Feels About Trump’s Iran Strategy
As a presidential candidate, Donald J. Trump pledged that he would maintain the United States’ leverage abroad by committing to an approach of “unpredictability.” As president, he has been nothing if not unpredictable. CONT. Giovanni Russonello, New York Times Read more »