The Upper Midwest swung to Trump in 2016. It may swing back to the Democrats in 2018

Donald Trump’s success in the Upper Midwest — particularly his victories in Michigan and Wisconsin — were pivotal to his success in the 2016 presidential election. His 1.5-point loss in Minnesota was the closest a Republican presidential nominee has come to winning the state since Ronald Reagan lost the state […] Read more »

Polls show a return of Democrats’ ‘Big Blue Wall’

When President Donald Trump captured the White House in 2016, he won with an electoral map that showed a shift in long-standing voting patterns, hammering away at the Democrats’ “Big Blue Wall” of states in the upper Midwest. New state polls from Marist this week, however, suggest those older patterns […] Read more »

Poll Hub: Polls, Polls, and More Polls

The Marist Poll has just released comprehensive data both nationally and in the upper Midwest. In this edition of Poll Hub, the team provides a detailed analysis of the electoral climate. In the latest NBC News/Marist Poll numbers of Michigan, Minnesota, and Wisconsin, President Donald Trump’s approval rating is upside […] Read more »

Scott Walker, other GOP candidates in key Midwest states trail Democratic rivals

New polls in three key Midwestern states show Republican Senate and gubernatorial candidates trailing their Democratic counterparts in hypothetical matchups — particularly GOP Gov. Scott Walker in Wisconsin, where only a third of voters say he deserves to be re-elected and where he trails his leading Democratic challenger by more […] Read more »

Trump approval sags in trio of Midwest states

In three politically important Midwest states — including two that were key in deciding the 2016 election — President Donald Trump’s job approval rating is below 40 percent, and Democrats hold a sizable lead for the upcoming congressional midterms, according to a trio of new NBC News/Marist polls. CONT. Mark […] Read more »