Ron Brownstein has a new piece in The Atlantic interrogating Donald Trump’s support—or lack thereof—and what it might mean for Democrats. It contains some eye-popping numbers, such as the huge differential swings among white Millennials with and without college degrees. Brownstein also notes Trump’s very low approval ratings among 18 […] Read more »
Can Millennials Save the Democratic Party?
Facing a bleak electoral landscape after 2016, the brightest spot for Democrats may be President Trump’s continued weakness with members of the Millennial generation—who are poised to surpass the more Republican-leaning baby boomers in 2020 as the largest generation of eligible voters. Polls early in his presidency consistently show Trump […] Read more »
Red vs. Blue Political Divide May Really Be About Young vs. Old
The divided opinions on Donald Trump’s presidency are well-known, but the gulf between Millennials and Baby Boomers may be most important. NBC News Read more »
Young Republicans hopeful, young Democrats fearful
Young Republicans are more hopeful about the future of America by a margin of 10 to 1 after President Donald Trump’s inaugural address, while young Democrats are fearful and independents are split between hopeful and fearful, finds a new national poll of America’s 18- to 29- year-olds by Harvard Kennedy […] Read more »
Forget the ’60s—The Real Generation Gap Is Happening Right Now
Since the election last month, we have seen a parade of analyses examining how Clinton supporters differ from Trump supporters along the dividing lines of race, education, and geographic residence. The persistence of partisan differences by age in American elections, however, has received somewhat less attention. … Hillary Clinton may […] Read more »
The politics of the rising American electorate
For more than a decade now, we have been predicting that the changing demographic make-up of our country would change the electorate and our politics and decide elections. Last year we projected that the rising American electorate (RAE) — the rapidly growing group of unmarried women, millennials and non-white voters […] Read more »