Two Approaches to Predicting Which Party Will Win in 2016

The 2016 presidential election is still more than a year away. It is highly likely that Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic nominee, but it is difficult to tell who the Republican nominee will be, with 18 currently declared candidates and Republican elites slow to generate a front-runner through endorsements. […] Read more »

A Year Later, U.S. Campaign Against ISIS Garners Support, Raises Concerns

Nearly a year after the United States launched its first airstrikes against ISIS, the public remains broadly supportive of the military campaign. Yet Americans also have persistent doubts about how well the U.S. military effort is going, and there is no agreement about whether the U.S. should deploy ground troops […] Read more »

Iran Nuclear Deal’s Biggest Skeptics: GOP Primary Voters

Political reaction to the nuclear deal negotiated with Iran has been swift, with the 2016 Republican presidential field coming out strongly against the agreement. … Those sentiments mesh closely with where Republican presidential primary voters are on the issue, according to the latest Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll. In the […] Read more »