President Joe Biden’s push to accelerate the nation’s transition toward electric vehicles offers him a game-changing opportunity to jolt the climate change debate — if he can quell simmering tension between two key elements of the Democratic coalition. If Biden can convince auto companies and autoworkers that they will prosper […] Read more »
How Biden won: Three key voter groups in 2020
Any election victory can be seen from a variety of angles — marginal gains here, voter flips there — but the story of Joe Biden’s 2020 win, and his narrow recapturing of the northern Democratic “blue wall” states, might be best explained by vote boosts with three groups: younger voters, […] Read more »
Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin still hold the keys to 2020
Barely a week out from Election Day, the electoral map is a sprawling landscape, larger than predicted as the campaigns took shape a year ago. But if things are close in the end, the election is still likely to be decided by the trio of northern industrial states that broke […] Read more »
This is Biden’s shortest path to the White House
Two weeks before Election Day, Joe Biden appears well-positioned to finish the job that Democrats above all hired him to do: Rebuild the party’s blue wall in the Rust Belt. Biden’s principal asset in the 2020 Democratic primaries was the widespread sense among party voters that he was best qualified […] Read more »
This is Joe Biden’s best electoral path
A big question heading into this cycle was whether Democrats’ best path to winning back the White House ran through the Sunbelt or the Great Lakes (i.e. Rust Belt). While we won’t know for certain which pathway was best for them until the votes are actually counted, the current data […] Read more »
Can Biden compete in Trump’s rural strongholds? Democrats hope so.
… After a tumultuous first term, Trump has seen his support erode across the country, even in deeply conservative rural areas that have been a bedrock of his support, and he is racing to stem any lasting damage. A series of national polls have shown a narrowing of his once-dominating […] Read more »