In observing the Democratic nomination contest over the last couple weeks, one wonders whether we’ve hit an inflection point. Has the trajectory of the race sharply changed, or is it just a pause, mere statistical noise, before it resumes its previous course? CONT. Charlie Cook Read more »
Does the Field Really Need More Democrats?
You can say a lot of things about the 2020 Democratic primary field, but you can’t say it’s not diverse. A total of seven senators, seven former and current congresspeople, three governors, five people of color, six women, four current or former mayors, one former vice president and two multi-millionaires […] Read more »
Buttigieg’s Big Break
This week, we discuss Michael Bloomberg’s possible entrance into the 2020 race, the momentum behind Pete Buttigieg’s boost in Iowa, and how the televised impeachment hearings may influence voters. The Forecast Fest, CNN Read more »
Can a presidential candidate really skip the early states? Ask Rudy Giuliani
Suddenly there appear to be several late entrants in the race for the Democratic presidential nomination. The most serious so far is former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg who has filed for the ballot in Alabama and Arkansas and who intends to skip the early contests in Iowa, New Hampshire, […] Read more »
Could Trump Lose The Popular Vote And Win, Again?
The New York Times, in collaboration with Siena College, recently released a round of battleground state polling that shows a much closer 2020 general election contest in swing states than you might expect if you just looked at national polling. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, we have […] Read more »
Democrats have put their differences above beating Trump. Bloomberg is a symptom not a cure.
A broad coalition now exists to throw President Trump out of office. Every day, he reminds Americans why the country would be so much better off without him. Which makes you wonder: Are Democrats determined to shred themselves into irreconcilable factions? Will they allow this utterly corrupt and unfit man […] Read more »