President Donald Trump and his campaign strategists are clearly focusing his reelection campaign largely on the premise that Trump is a highly competent leader who has kept his promises and completed a long list of accomplishments. Much of Trump’s reelection website is given over to “Promises Kept,” with detailed descriptions […] Read more »
How Serious Is Tom Steyer’s Polling Surge?
… In what might be the most surprising results of the cycle, Fox News released polls in South Carolina and Nevada showing Tom Steyer in a strong position: second place with 15 percent of the vote in the South Carolina primary, and tied for third with 12 percent of the […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Races tighten between Trump and Democrats in Wisconsin
The Democratic advantage over Donald Trump has narrowed in potential head-to-head matchups, according to a Fox News Poll of Wisconsin voters. In addition, a plurality opposes the Senate removing President Trump from office following impeachment by the House, even as a majority disapproves of the job he is doing as […] Read more »
With A Month To Go Before Iowa And New Hampshire, Anything Can Happen
Democrats all want one thing: to beat Donald Trump. The problem is, they can’t agree on who’s best to do that. … So what’s the state of play a month out? How predictive are Iowa and New Hampshire for who becomes the Democratic nominee? And should we even pay attention […] Read more »
New Year’s Irresolutions and the Democratic Field
This post gives my end of the year thoughts on the Democratic field. I am writing it so we can all look back in a few months and see how wrong it was, and, indeed, many factors provide uncertainty about what the next few months will bring. Certainly many of […] Read more »
‘I don’t buy that you can win a presidential nomination’ on ads alone
FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver looks at whether expensive ad campaigns will be enough for candidates like Tom Steyer and Mike Bloomberg to win in 2020. This Week, ABC News Read more »