Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s recent testimony before the House Judiciary and Intelligence Committees, and the Mueller Report itself, make it very clear that the Russian government made a major effort to help Donald Trump win the 2016 U.S. presidential election. What the Mueller Report did not determine, however, was whether […] Read more »
The Post-Debate State Of The Primary
In a live taping of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast in downtown Detroit, the crew discusses key takeaways from the second Democratic primary debate. And the team competes in a 2020 Democratic presidential draft, debating which candidates are most likely to win the nomination. Plus, Robert Yoon of Inside Elections joins […] Read more »
Suburban women recoil as Trump dives into racial politics
Carol Evans approves of Donald Trump’s immigration policy. … “I just don’t like the way he talks about other people,” Evans, a 79-year-old retired data entry supervisor, said recently as she walked through a shopping mall in Brookfield, Wisconsin, days after Trump fired off a racist tweet at Democratic congresswomen. […] Read more »
In this Michigan county, voters feel economic gains and Trump fatigue
… At a time when unemployment is near historic lows and the economy is flourishing, the 2020 election could turn on the question of whether Americans turned off by Trump’s racist and xenophobic rhetoric will give him a pass because they and their loved ones are doing better financially. Places […] Read more »
In 2020, Midwest turnout will be key to Democrats’ fortunes
This week the Democratic presidential hopefuls will meet in Detroit for their second set of debates. Next summer the party will hold its nominating convention in Milwaukee. And this spring Democratic front-runner Joe Biden officially kicked off his campaign in Philadelphia. Notice a pattern? Early indications are that the 2020 […] Read more »
Farewell Ross Perot; Senate races on the fringe of the competitive map; the curious case of Justin Amash
There is a great quote from George McGovern, the 1972 Democratic presidential nominee and South Dakota senator: “You know, sometimes, when they say you’re ahead of your time, it’s just a polite way of saying you have a real bad sense of timing.” Given how American politics has developed over […] Read more »