Battleground states poll

In February, The Elections Research Center conducted surveys in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin that asked voting-age citizens which presidential candidate they plan to vote for in the primary and general elections. … The survey reveals that Senator Bernie Sanders is the leading candidate in the primary contest with a sizable […] Read more »

Boom and bust: Economy and impeachment capture the forces that will determine Trump’s fate

The House officially delivered to the Senate two articles of impeachment against President Donald Trump last week on the same day that the Dow Jones Industrial Average finished above 29,000 points for the first time. That striking juxtaposition encapsulates the contending forces shaping the presidential race: pervasive doubts about Trump’s […] Read more »

Three reasons why the Democrats’ Blue Wall crumbled

The story of why Democrats lost in 2016 has been dissected by journalists, activists and politicians since the moment Donald Trump won, with an array of explanations offered for what went wrong for the party. But one indisputable fact is that had Democrats won in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan, President […] Read more »

Firehouse/Optimus: President Trump Well-Positioned Against Leading Democratic Contenders

… As the impeachment process heats up in Washington, Donald Trump is seeing a boost in support in crucial swing states. Across the board, President Trump is polling well against the Democratic field in each of these battleground states. Notably, Vice President Biden has seen a sharp decline in support […] Read more »