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You are here: Home » Archives for methodology

Trump’s in the lead — but these polls are junk

August 18, 2015 · Leave a Comment

The political story of the summer is Donald Trump’s polling. But the political story of the year is the disastrous condition of polling in the age of the Internet and the cellphone, not just here but worldwide. How can we reconcile the two? We can’t. CONT. John Podhoretz, New York […] Read more »

Tags: 2016, Donald Trump, methodology, pollwatching, president, Republican Party

Are the polls skewed?

August 14, 2015 · Leave a Comment

Donald Trump is on top in Iowa, Ben Carson is hot on his heels, and Bernie Sanders has flown past Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire. That’s the snapshot polls captured this week. It’s a far cry from the Bush-Clinton horse race that many had predicted going into the 2016 campaign […] Read more »

Tags: 2016, Bernie Sanders, Democratic Party, Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, IA, methodology, NH, pollwatching, president, Republican Party

The AP’s Mission to Save the Exit Poll

August 12, 2015 · Leave a Comment

Exit pollsters do their work in a few short days, but the information they glean dominates the political conversation for years. … But now, as more voters cast ballots early or by mail and polling those voters becomes more costly and potentially less reliable, the exit polls are getting more […] Read more »

Tags: exit polls, internet, methodology, news, pollwatching

Understanding Political Polling

August 8, 2015 · Leave a Comment

A conversation with Charles Franklin, director of the Marquette Law School Poll. Read more »

Tags: 2016, debates, methodology, pollwatching, president, Republican Party

What You Need To Know About Early Polls And How To Read Them

August 7, 2015 · Leave a Comment

The early 2016 presidential polls are flying, which means the complaining about polls is in full swing, too. … Polls always have weaknesses. Early polls can be worse. And they’re all spun every which way by every pundit — and politician — with vocal cords. If you’re baffled by what […] Read more »

Tags: 2016, methodology, pollwatching, president

Everyone Is Already Freaking Out Over the 2016 Election Polls

August 2, 2015 · Leave a Comment

It’s been a bad year for polls. They were wrong in forecasting a close vote in the Greek referendum last month, wrong in overstating the Labour Party’s strength in the British elections in May, off in predicting the outcomes in the Israeli election, and off in the Scottish independence referendum […] Read more »

Tags: 2016, debates, methodology, pollwatching, prediction, president

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