In this episode of Poll Hub, the debate over DACA. According to a new Marist Poll, a majority of Americans disapprove of President Donald Trump’s move to end DACA, similar to the findings of other recent surveys. What does it mean when the polls converge? Can the average poll consumer […] Read more »
We were unfair to traditional pollsters
A couple days ago, Slate ran an article by David Rothschild and myself, “We Need to Move Beyond Election-Focused Polling,” in which we wrote about various aspects of the future of opinion surveys. One aspect of this article was misleading. CONT. Andrew Gelman, Columbia U. Read more »
We Need to Move Beyond Election-Focused Polling
… In the wake of the 2016 election, which was not the massive failure in polling that many imagine but rather a misstep that exemplifies the current flaws of the system, many are asking “what is the future of polling?” Traditional polls cost a lot of money, take a lot […] Read more »
Should democracy depend on ‘we, the people’? Here’s what the framers wanted.
… Over the next five episodes we’ll look at the role of public opinion and the media, see how elections work, and examine ways other than voting by which people can participate in politics. Public opinion is a fundamental place to start. After all, as William McKinley put it, “Here […] Read more »
What We Thought We Knew: The Polls’ Performance In 2016
Pollsters around the globe are under more scrutiny than ever before. While it will take time to investigate the polls’ strengths and weaknesses in the recent British general election, we now have an excellent summary of their performance in the US election. Last month, the American Association for Public Opinion […] Read more »
Q&A: Pew Research Center’s president on key issues in U.S. polling
Even as the polling industry tries to recover from real and perceived misses in U.S. and European elections in recent years, new studies have provided reassuring news for survey practitioners about the health of polling methodology. In this Q&A, Michael Dimock, president of Pew Research Center, talks about recent developments […] Read more »