Nate Cohn, who covers politics and polling for the New York Times, wrote an article last month (6/3/22) comparing the results of national polls with actual ballot measures in states. His major theme was that national polls may be unreliable when they show high levels of support for various policies. […] Read more »
How partisanship is making polling Americans more complicated
There’s something strange about how Americans see the economy these days – or, at least, how they’re describing it to pollsters. For one thing, there’s a stark partisan divide in responses to even factual economic questions. Take an April CBS News/YouGov poll that found Democrats were not only 41 percentage […] Read more »
Asked four ways, Americans are more likely than not to want Roe v. Wade upheld
With the Supreme Court expected to issue its opinion on a key abortion case in the coming weeks, pollsters such as YouGov have worked to measure Americans’ opinions on the landmark decision of Roe v. Wade that legalized abortion access nationwide. While Roe v. Wade is not directly on the […] Read more »
How much are polls misrepresenting Americans?
Declining response rates for polls mean we must rely on the shrinking minority of Americans that agree to be interviewed to represent the broader public. Josh Clinton finds that Democrats were more likely to agree to be interviewed than Republicans or Independents in 2020. Common corrections could not compensate, as […] Read more »
Pollsters prepare for major changes after presidential election misses
The polling industry is on the precipice of its biggest change in decades, as pollsters try to battle back from consecutive presidential election failures. Pollsters are increasingly embracing new methods in the run-up to the 2022 midterms after notable misses in recent races. Front of mind is the looming 2024 […] Read more »
Manufacturing Opinion on Lifting Title 42 Border Restrictions
The Biden Administration intends to fully lift the Title 42 border restrictions, which have been in place since March 2020, on May 23. A federal judge appointed by Donald Trump, however, has ordered a two-week halt to the phasing out of those restrictions. In the meantime, three media polls—Politico/Morning Consult, […] Read more »