Donald Trump’s victory in the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as the UK’s decision to leave the European Union through “Brexit,” rattled public confidence in polls. Since these two major world events occurred, we have been asked the same question when giving presentations, on social media, in interviews, and […] Read more »
Poll Hub: Fake Poll … Claims
President Donald Trump recently cited a Reuters/Ipsos Poll to show his approval rating among African Americans is on the rise. But, even the organization behind the poll said, not so fast. In this episode, the Poll Hub team breaks down the controversy, analyzes the survey, and explains why the president’s […] Read more »
Poll Hub: To Poll or Not to Poll?
In this episode of Poll Hub, what factors into pollsters decisions to poll? Why do some electoral contests have few public opinion polls? The team at Poll Hub breaks it down. Then, from the mailroom, the crew answers some of the most frequently asked questions about polls. From push polls […] Read more »
Who’s On Second? CA Polling Is a Muddled Mess
Here’s what we know about the 2018 California races for governor and U.S. Senate: Democrats Gavin Newsom and Dianne Feinstein will come in first in the June preliminary vote. If past polling and logic prove reliable, Democrats Antonio Villaraigosa and Kevin de Leon will come in second in those races […] Read more »
Why Phone and Web Survey Results Aren’t the Same
Researchers have many methods they can choose from when conducting surveys — telephone, face-to-face, interactive voice response (IVR), web, and paper and pencil. Deciding which method best fits their study’s objectives is one of the most important choices they will make and is crucial to constructing a research design. … […] Read more »
Time for better oversight of polling and online political communications
The Select Committee on Political Polling and Digital Media calls for a tighter oversight of opinion polling in the wake of polling failures in the 2015 general election, the EU referendum in 2016 and the 2017 general election. The Committee’s report also considers the impact of digital media on politics, […] Read more »