… The question that keeps emerging is who is not on pollsters’ 2018 radar. That matters greatly because between now and November’s vote, there will be a tsunami of horse race coverage delivered in authoritative tones. However, pollsters will tell you that their analyses are more vaporous; that they are […] Read more »
Poll Hub: Election Security
From interference from foreign countries such as Russia to domestic voter fraud and obstacles to the voting process, the latest NPR/Marist Poll gauges Americans’ attitudes about the safety of the U.S. electoral process. On this episode of Poll Hub, NPR’s Brett Neely joins the team to discuss the impetus for […] Read more »
How many Americans really misuse opioids? Why scientists still aren’t sure
Defining opioids. Darwin Brandis/shutterstock.com Joseph Palamar, New York University Langone Medical Center With rates of prescription opioid use disorder and opioid-involved overdose deaths on the rise, the U.S. opioid crisis appears to be continuing unabated. Data on overdose and death are pretty reliable. But there’s still much that’s unknown about […] Read more »
Why Polling Can Be So Hard
Some states and congressional districts are a lot harder to poll than others, and this can have major consequences. … Here’s a tour of some of the challenges we’ve tackled in conducting polls of a dozen of the most competitive congressional districts, what we’ve done about them, and what we […] Read more »
Tracking Trump: Comparing the latest NPR/Marist Poll with other national surveys
Some national polls are showing President Donald Trump’s job approval rating on the decline. Has the president’s rating really been bouncing up and down or is it all in the timing? The NPR/Marist Poll does show a drop in the president’s approval score among those in one very significant part […] Read more »
Primary Season Was Full of Surprises. Here’s Why the Polls Missed Some of Them.
Ayanna Pressley’s blowout victory over a 10-term congressman last week was the latest example of a trend that has become abundantly clear: 2018 is the year of the progressive insurgent, from Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez to Andrew Gillum. But if you relied exclusively on polls, you may not have seen these results […] Read more »