An interesting, and unusually detailed, poll story from @davidmdrucker Saturday is worth some consideration and comment. It covers WI, MI, PA, IA, FL and TX. … This was sponsored by an interest group (“Americans for Fair Skies”) and conducted by @WPAintel (WPAintelligence) a Republican firm (Ted Cruz, Mike Lee, Club […] Read more »
When Online Survey Respondents Only ‘Select Some That Apply’
Anyone who has taken a survey has likely been given the option to “check all that apply” when answering a question. The instruction is widely used in data collection because of its ease and efficiency. But when designing an online survey questionnaire, there is more than one way to ask […] Read more »
Census Showdown: The implications of including a citizenship question in the 2020 U.S. Census
The debate over the inclusion of a citizenship question in the 2020 U.S. Census is now before the U.S. Supreme Court. On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, we discuss the importance of the decision both politically and in the world of polling. Then, NPR’s Lead Political Editor Domenico Montanaro […] Read more »
The Mueller Report, Partisan Survey Responsiveness, and Interpreting Public Opinion Polls
Political observers often expect major political events to have ramifications for public opinion. The recent release and aftermath of the Mueller Report introduced yet another one of these scenarios. Damaging findings against Donald Trump appeared destined to harm the president’s image. To many, this expectation materialized: in at least a […] Read more »
Do Democrats Want An Outsider In 2020?
Pete Buttigieg, the mayor of a small city in Indiana, has attracted national media attention and is rising in early Democratic Primary polls. Andrew Yang, an entrepreneur with no political experience, already has the 65,000 unique donors required to qualify for the Democratic primary debate stage. The appeal of political […] Read more »
How The Giant Democratic Primary Field Messes With Polls
There are already a lot of things that a smart poll-watcher has to account for when comparing surveys. Were they done by the same pollster? Did they query the same type of population (likely voters, registered voters, all adults)? To this list, the volatile 2020 Democratic primary field has added […] Read more »