As the Democratic race shifts into high gear and the fallout from the impeachment trial settles in I have a respectful and heartfelt cautionary admonition about polling data: Caveat emptor. Let’s begin with Iowa. Not one poll before the Iowa caucuses accurately captured what was happening. Most of the closing […] Read more »
Has Trump’s approval rating really shot up to 49 percent? Probably not.
Polls suggest that Donald Trump has weathered his impeachment remarkably well. The talk of the past couple of days among election prognosticators has been a Gallup poll that pegs Trump’s job approval at 49 percent, the highest Trump has ever registered in that poll. … But is Trump really getting […] Read more »
Des Moines Register poll scrapped after apparent mishap
The widely anticipated Des Moines Register/CNN/Mediacom poll of likely Iowa Democratic caucus-goers was scrapped shortly before it was set to be released Saturday night after complaints from Pete Buttigieg’s campaign about how it was conducted. The stunning announcement by the media sponsors and West Des Moines-based pollster Selzer & Co. […] Read more »
CNN and The Des Moines Register will not release Iowa poll results, network says
CNN and The Des Moines Register will not release their final Iowa caucus poll, the network announced Saturday. “A respondent raised an issue with the way their interview was conducted, which could have compromised the results of the poll. We were unable to ascertain what happened during this respondent’s interview, […] Read more »
Inside a call center as pollsters aim to capture American attitudes
How is a national political poll conducted? Our Joe Fryer goes inside a Venture Data call center in Utah as interviewers conduct scripted surveys for the NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll. They need to survey 1,000 registered voters in just four days — a job made more difficult in the […] Read more »
Des Moines Register Poll of Iowa Caucusgoers Abruptly Shelved
A highly anticipated poll of Iowa Democrats, set to be released two days before the presidential caucuses, was shelved on Saturday night after complaints about irregularities in the methodology. The concerns, raised by aides to former Mayor Pete Buttigieg, prompted CNN to cancel an hourlong special organized to release the […] Read more »