With Joe Biden claiming almost a double-digit lead in national polls, one question still seems to loom over the race: Can we trust the polls after 2016? It’s a good question. But for now, it’s not as important as you might guess. If the election were held today, Mr. Biden […] Read more »
Poll Hub: In Context
On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, CNN’s Harry Enten sheds light on the 2020 presidential election. Enten analyzes where Joe Biden’s poll numbers stand at this time and compares them to those of previous presidential candidates. It’s always a good time when Enten visits the podcast. Plus, the Supreme […] Read more »
Poll Hub: Now and Later
On this week’s episode of our podcast, Poll Hub, we explain the latest results from our America Now: National Outlook Index. We assess how Americans’ opinions about their health and economic conditions have and have not changed. Plus, we introduce our baseline measurements of Americans’ feelings toward society and government […] Read more »
Believe the Polls This Time
… I am a pollster who works to get Democrats elected. Four years ago I, too, believed—based on public polling and information from the Clinton campaign itself—that our candidate was going to win. I still didn’t take victory for granted. I wanted to win down ballot so Democrats would make […] Read more »
The Trump campaign has a new effort to rebut his lousy poll numbers. It’s not good.
In the vernacular of political communications, a memo is essentially an attempt to nerd up a news release. Sometimes campaigns create memos meant to be leaked, increasing the chances that a reporter will pick up the story. Often, though, campaign memos serve as short-form white papers, aimed at impressing reporters […] Read more »
Enthusiasm and Unity Update, Polling Methodology
This memorandum lays out two important sets of facts as we head toward the home stretch of the 2020 campaign for president. First, there is clear and irrefutable evidence that Joe Biden’s candidacy has a decided lack of enthusiastic support as compared to President Trump. Second, the public polling on […] Read more »