One finding in this week’s Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll stands out for its potential to reframe the presidential election: The dramatically dim view that white voters—particularly white men—have of Hillary Clinton. … If Mrs. Clinton’s favorability numbers translate into voting behavior, she would be in a pretty deep hole: […] Read more »
Poll Trouble: Hillary Clinton’s Three Challenges
Going into the 2016 campaign, Hillary Clinton appeared to have a clear path to the Democratic nomination and possibly the White House. But a summer of sliding poll numbers and questions about her personal email server have made for a more complicated road. Recent poll numbers reveal three potential general-election […] Read more »
Children a Key Factor in Women’s Desire to Work Outside the Home
Having young children at home greatly influences whether women in the U.S. prefer to stay at home or work outside of it. More than half of women, 56%, who have a child younger than 18 would ideally like to stay home and care for their house and family, while 58% […] Read more »
Polls Show Carly Fiorina’s Gender-Neutral Appeal
With a strong debate performance, Carly Fiorina has stolen the spotlight in the Republican presidential race, surging into second place in a recent poll. That makes this a good moment to note that while Mrs. Fiorina is the lone woman in the Republican race, her support so far has not […] Read more »
Guess who used to be okay with the death penalty
A major impediment to political understanding is the attitude that whatever is happening now has always been so. One of our most important tasks as political scientists is not just to describe the world as it is, but to identify and understand change. CONT. Andrew Gelman (Columbia), The Monkey Cage Read more »
Why Hillary Clinton needs the gender gap
… Since 1980, men have always voted more Republican than women in presidential races — but never more so than that year. … But the bigger question, of course, is how that gender gap will be affected if there is actually a woman on the ticket — or, quite possibly, […] Read more »