Donald Trump’s image among U.S. women tilts strongly negative, with 70% of women holding an unfavorable opinion and 23% a favorable opinion of the Republican front-runner in March. CONT. Frank Newport & Lydia Saad, Gallup Read more »
The 2011 Survey That Eerily Predicted Donald Trump
White men without a college degree are the most likely demographic to support Donald Trump. But who could have foreseen that they would reject the GOP to side with a political outsider who built his campaign around economic anxiety, racial resentment, and a bleak assessment of America’s future? Well, how […] Read more »
How Trump vs. Clinton would reshape the electoral map
A prospective general election between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton could significantly alter what states are in play this fall and heighten more than in any recent election the racial, class and gender divisions within the national electorate. After successive campaigns in which President Obama expanded the Democrats’ electoral map […] Read more »
As Hillary Clinton Sweeps States, One Group Resists: White Men
White men narrowly backed Hillary Clinton in her 2008 race for president, but they are resisting her candidacy this time around in major battleground states, rattling some Democrats about her general-election strategy. … “Her most serious relationship problem is with white men, on a policy issue front but also stylistically, […] Read more »
Margin of Victory Will Matter as Clinton Counts on Black Voters in South Carolina
After three contests, Hillary Clinton leads Bernie Sanders by the slimmest of margins in the Democratic primary, 51 to 50 in delegates. But she hasn’t yet tapped into what is probably her greatest strength: black voters. CONT. Nate Cohn, New York Times Read more »
Is Hillary losing the women’s vote? Nope. Here’s how the gender gap really works.
Is a gender gap between women’s and men’s votes helping Hillary Clinton win in the Democratic presidential primaries and caucuses? Media reports on this have misconstrued exactly how the gender gap works. For instance, news outlets are generally reporting that Clinton won the women’s vote in Iowa and Nevada but […] Read more »