Joe Biden’s surprise victories on Super Tuesday were powered by Democratic voters who broke his way just days before casting their ballots — a wave of late momentum that scrambled the race in a matter of hours. … Here’s a snapshot of Democratic voters in Alabama, California, Colorado, Massachusetts, Minnesota, […] Read more »
Markey vs. Kennedy: Welcome to the most unusual Senate primary in decades
Sen. Ed Markey (D-MA) will be facing the fight of his political life this year. He’s being challenged in the Democratic primary by Rep. Joe Kennedy III (D, MA-4), scion of the legendary political family. The clash of Massachusetts political titans was sure to generate public and media interest regardless. […] Read more »
What Elizabeth Warren’s Last Election Can Tell Us About 2020
One of the many reasons I think New England is great is that its elections are conducted — and its results are reported — at the city/town level, not the county level. That lets psephologists like me study them in greater detail, and one election I’m particularly interested in is […] Read more »
Senate And Governor Races Are Diverging Sharply In Some States
More and more Americans vote for the same party up and down the ballot these days. But some people still split their tickets. Who? Where? Well, we can use our forecast data to try to answer that. There are 22 states holding multiple statewide races this year — meaning a […] Read more »
Primary Election Recap: A Big Upset Here at Home
Honest Graft headquarters is located in the 7th District of Massachusetts, a constituency that rarely commands the attention of the national political world. As denizens of a one-party city located within a seldom-competitive state, Boston voters are unused to producing electoral outcomes of interest to anyone but ourselves (if even […] Read more »
What the Governor of Massachusetts Tells Us About American Voters
A new WBUR poll of Massachusetts residents confirms that the incumbent governor, Charlie Baker, is overwhelmingly popular and in excellent position to win a second term by a landslide. … What has allowed him to escape the partisan wars that have scarred so many other politicians? Part of the answer […] Read more »