… Looking at the race through a historical lens, the odds would seem stacked against Hillary Clinton (assuming that she is the Democratic nominee). In the post-World War II era, only six times has one party held the presidency for two consecutive terms, and only once has that party kept […] Read more »
Will Demographics Transform Southern Politics?
… It seems an overstatement to say that Southern Republicans are in outright denial about the fact that whites will be a minority in America around 2043. It does seem fair to say that the national Republican Party is underreacting, and Southern Republicans seem to be especially resistant to appealing […] Read more »
In U.S., Socialist Presidential Candidates Least Appealing
As the 2016 presidential election field takes shape, more than nine in 10 Americans say they would vote for a qualified presidential candidate who is Catholic, a woman, black, Hispanic or Jewish. Less than half of Americans would vote for a candidate who is a socialist. CONT. Justin McCarthy, Gallup Read more »
Hispanic vote drives election strategy
… At some point, elections are not about politics or policy; they are about math. He or she who gets the most votes wins, and Hispanics arguably are the most potent rising bloc in both Nevada and American politics. All other things being equal – and they rarely are – […] Read more »
Dylann Roof reportedly wanted a race war. How many Americans sympathize?
Dylann Roof has confessed to the murder of nine people at a South Carolina church Wednesday, according to officials. And one of Roof’s friends has said that Roof wanted to start a race war — the kind of sentiment that’s common in the avowed white supremacist crowd. But just how […] Read more »
Beyond Personalities
It’s human nature: People’s ideas about presidential races are largely shaped by their perceptions of the personalities and images of the candidates. Both voters and the media become preoccupied, even obsessed, with these factors, to the exclusion of any others. The truth is, however, that big, fundamental forces have considerable—indeed, […] Read more »