Just as in 2008, Tuesday’s New Hampshire’s primary created an “a-ha moment,” illuminating the contours of each Democratic candidate’s coalition. It’s becoming increasingly apparent that Hillary Clinton is relying on a coalition that looks almost the opposite of the one she assembled in 2008. Eight years ago, she prevailed among […] Read more »
Hillary Clinton just lost New Hampshire. Don’t assume she’ll win the next state, either.
… There is this perception that New Hampshire, which Bernie Sanders won Tuesday, is too white and too close to Sanders’s home state of Vermont for Clinton to win. After New Hampshire, though, the states get significantly more diverse; basically every one of the next couple dozen states to vote […] Read more »
Why U.S. Latinos Are Difficult to Poll
It is not easy to accurately poll any population, but Latinos in the U.S. appear to pose specific challenges. “There is an art and a science to polling in Latino communities,” says Lourdes Torres, the director of special projects at Univision, a the Spanish-language network, which is also known for […] Read more »
Bernie Sanders’s real problem with black and Hispanic voters
… Sanders has managed to attract an overwhelmingly white voter base that, by all measures, appears excited and convinced that Sanders’s prescription of inequality busting, billionaire -humbling policy will fix all that is wrong with America. The thing is, Sanders’s message hasn’t quite caught the same kind of fire with […] Read more »
It’s Rubio Or Bust For Republicans Who Want To Win
… There are a lot of complex analyses of the 2016 election floating around. My own theory is quite straightforward: If Hillary Clinton is the nominee — and she remains a heavy favorite over Bernie Sanders — her fate largely rests with Republican voters’ decisions over the next few months. […] Read more »
More Republicans See Gain in Anti-Immigration Stance
Three years ago, high-level Republicans declared that after losing the popular vote in five of the past six elections, the party needed to appeal more to Hispanics to win the presidency. Immigration was a threshold issue. … Today, however, this notion has been turned upside down. … More Republican politicians, […] Read more »