After a week in the spotlight in many prominent Latinos took to the stage at the RNC Convention, the impreMedia/Latino Decisions tracking poll finds a noticeable bump in support for Romney and Republicans among Latinos, as reported by Pilar Marrero. [cont.] Matt Barreto, Latino Decisions Read more »
Mitt Romney’s Magic Number
Mitt Romney’s campaign has identified 38% as the “magic number” of Latino voters they need to secure victory over President Obama in the November election. This seems rather ambitious; John McCain earned 31% of the Latino vote in 2008, and Romney stands at a mere 26% ten weeks before the […] Read more »
Race in the 2012 election: more demagogics than demographics
… There have been some arguments that the percentage of whites in this year’s electorate will fall from its 2008 level. That’s based on the belief that Latino communities are a growing segment of the American electorate. There is just one problem with that hypothesis: it’s not happening. [cont.] Harry […] Read more »
Introducing LD Turnout Predict
LD Turnout Predict is a propriety model that allows us to identify likely voters with considerably greater accuracy than standard screening techniques. Moreover, the model goes beyond simple classification of registered voters as likely or unlikely, instead assigning an estimated probability of voting to each respondent in a manner designed […] Read more »
Tracking Poll Wave 1: Latino vote uphill climb for Romney
Just before the beginning of the Republican National Convention in Tampa presidential candidate Mitt Romney continues to overwhelmingly lose the Latino vote and has low levels of favorability among the majority of the Latino electorate. The first weekly tracking poll of Latino registered voters by Latino Decisions and impreMedia reveals […] Read more »
Can the Republicans connect with Latinos on abortion?
… The pro-life position among Latinos is not surprising given that over two-thirds of Latinos are Catholic, a religion whose doctrine does not admit abortion in any circumstance. … In theory it is plausible that the Republican Party could connect with Latinos through their similar views on abortion and higher […] Read more »