House analysts know that handicapping results in individual seats can be tricky for a lot of reasons, including the lack of independent polling in most districts. Yes, the party committees, campaigns, and other outside groups will survey the districts, but many of these polls will never see the light of […] Read more »
Who’s hurting GOP Senate prospects?
… Being a congressional leader is hard and there is always a political price to be paid. By its nature, the job is highly partisan at a time when voters claim to be sick of partisan battles. In recent times, no leader of either party on either side of the […] Read more »
Emerging Democratic Party united on liberal policies but divided on how to win
A new Democratic Party is emerging in congressional primaries across the country, united over the most liberal policies in decades but sharply divided over which candidates to run against President Trump and Republicans in the midterms. The party taking shape will challenge the GOP with a distinct populist tilt, marking […] Read more »
Three-Year Impacts of the Affordable Care Act: Improved Medical Care and Health Among Low-Income Adults
Low-income adults in Arkansas and Kentucky who obtained coverage under the Affordable Care Act’s Medicaid expansion had better access to primary care and preventive health services, lower out-of-pocket costs, improved medication compliance, and improved self-reported health status than did low-income adults in Texas, which did not expand Medicaid. Among adults […] Read more »
Democrats burned by polling blind spot
As they investigate the forces behind the party’s stunning losses in November, Democrats are coming to a troubling conclusion. The party didn’t just lose among rural white voters on Election Day, it may have failed to capture them in its pre-election polling as well. Many pollsters and strategists believe that […] Read more »
Why Obamacare enrollees voted for Trump
… The health care law has helped lots of people in Whitley County, where Oller works. The uninsured rate has fallen from 25 percent in 2013 to 10 percent today, according to data from the nonprofit Enroll America. Overall, Kentucky is now tied with West Virginia for the biggest increase […] Read more »