In a previous analysis, I noted that Bernie Sanders is a clear favorite among Latino voters in California. A recent study by The Latino Community Foundation shows that young Latinos have an even stronger preference for Bernie, with over two-thirds rating the senator favorably. The favorability gap between Bernie Sanders […] Read more »
What Iowa Voters’ Second-Choice Picks Can Tell Us
Polling in presidential primary campaigns is notoriously fluid. In an effort to gauge movement among voters as they might change their mind and as candidates pop in and out of the race, pollsters will often ask voters about both their first-choice candidate and their backup. This question has been particularly […] Read more »
Why Aren’t More Women Breaking Out In The Democratic Primary?
… A number of studies have found that voters don’t easily move past women’s stumbles, and are less likely to view women as qualified or competent to begin with. And women’s qualifications can even be turned into liabilities. The precise effect of these attitudes is hard to pin down, but […] Read more »
Why Twitter underestimates Joe Biden
… Biden is maintaining his national lead just as he has all year, while Harris decided to exit the race. That was not the way it was supposed to be at the beginning of the year. Biden’s a gaffe machine who is ripped almost every day on Twitter. Harris seemed […] Read more »
Kamala Harris’ 2020 exit puts ‘Biden in position to benefit’
FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver looks at who benefits from Kamala Harris’ early departure from the 2020 presidential race. This Week, ABC News Read more »
Politics with Amy Walter: The State of the Democratic Primary Field
The road to the White House is rarely a linear path. That was abundantly clear this week when Senator Kamala Harris announced that she was suspending her campaign. The announcement came as a surprise to many because at the time of launch, Senator Harris was one to watch. Political reporters […] Read more »