In a Gallup poll conducted shortly after the first round of Democratic debates, Bernie Sanders and Joe Biden continue to enjoy the highest favorability ratings of all major Democratic contenders among the party’s base. Both are viewed favorably by roughly seven in 10 Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents. CONT. Lydia Saad, […] Read more »
What We’ve Gleaned About The Democratic Primary From 6 Months Of Polls
Earlier this year, we published a three-part series on how well primary polls conducted in the calendar year before a presidential election predict the outcome. Our analysis, which covered more than 40 years of primaries, found that early polls are somewhat predictive of who eventually wins the nomination, especially when […] Read more »
Castro and Harris emerge from first debate as leading candidates with Latinos
Julian Castro and Kamala Harris impressed Latinos most during the first 2020 Democratic presidential debates in late June, according to Univision’s post-debate survey. Harris and Castro jumped to the top of the rankings and join Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren as the four Democratic candidates viewed most favorably by Latinos. […] Read more »
What we know after the first Democratic debate
In the wake of the first Democratic debates, polling anarchy has erupted. There have been six post-debate surveys. Three place support for Joe Biden, the putative leader of the pack, in the low 20s with other candidates nipping at his heels. Three others put him at 30 percent or above, […] Read more »
Harris and Castro rise among Hispanics after the first Democratic debate
After a robust performance in the first presidential debate, Julián Castro solidified and strengthened his position, while Kamala Harris now stands as the current favorite among Hispanics eligible to vote in the primary elections. In a survey conducted nationwide by Univision News after the first presidential debate, 22 percent of […] Read more »
Democratic candidates veer left, leaving behind successful midterm strategy
… With a full embrace of liberal positions on hot-button issues from immigration to health care, taxes and abortion, the Democratic presidential field has effectively abandoned the strategy that propelled the party to a landslide victory in the 2018 midterms, when Democrats flipped 43 GOP House seats and won 31 […] Read more »