Key Points• In last night’s high-stakes state Supreme Court race in Wisconsin, Democratic-aligned Janet Protasiewicz comfortably dispatched former Justice Daniel Kelly, giving liberals a 4-3 majority on the court.• Compared to some previous Democratic-aligned judges, Protasiewicz had a more “nationalized” voting coalition, although she still carried several Republican-leaning parts of […] Read more »
The right to abortion will be secured before the end of the decade
When the right to choose an abortion is on the ballot, it wins. And it will keep winning for the rest of the decade until the right to abortion is secured state by state in all but the deepest red states and the U.S. Supreme Court’s decision is rendered moot. […] Read more »
Democrats have been doing well in special elections in 2023
Democrat Jennifer McClellan easily won the special election for Virginia’s 4th Congressional District last week. The fact that a Democrat comfortably retained a Democratic seat in a district President Joe Biden would have won under its new lines by 36 points in 2020 is not surprising. What is notable is […] Read more »
Notes on the State of Politics: Wisconsin’s key state Supreme Court race; U.S. House back to full strength, but not for long
Key Points• In Virginia, Democrats have held the Richmond-area 4th District with state Sen. Jennifer McClellan. Her nearly 50-point win represented a notable overperformance.• The most important judicial race of this year will be in the closely-divided state of Wisconsin, where control of the state Supreme Court is on the […] Read more »
The most consequential election of 2023 is next week
Next Tuesday, Wisconsin holds a statewide judicial primary in which as few as half a million ballots may be cast. This seemingly obscure election can affect millions of lives for much of this decade – and maybe our national election in 2024. Wisconsin is a microcosm of partisan warfare in […] Read more »
Overall approval of U.S. Supreme Court has ticked up from post-Dobbs low six months ago
A new Marquette Law School Poll national survey finds that 47% of adults approve of the job the U.S. Supreme Court is doing, while 53% disapprove. Approval of the Court has been rising from a recent low point of 38% in July 2022, although it remains well below the 60% […] Read more »