Donald Trump doesn’t need Latino voters to win

It’s safe to say that virtually all political professionals think Donald Trump’s presidential campaign is doomed. The odds of him winning the Republican nomination are long, and the odds of him winning the general election are nonexistent, they say. … If the eventual Republican nominee needs 47 percent of the […] Read more »

2016 Outsiders and the Economic Roots of Voter Anger

The conventional wisdom holds that those “outsider” presidential candidates in both parties who are resonating with angry voters–Donald Trump, Bernie Sanders, Ben Carson, Carly Fiorina, and Ted Cruz (who casts himself as an outsider)–will eventually give way to more “electable” candidates. But the more those candidates rise in the polls, […] Read more »

U.S. Holds Off a World of Economic Trouble

… The economy invariably becomes a political target when there is no White House incumbent running for re-election. The opposition party has to talk about how bad things are and its ideas for change. The incumbent party, in this case the Democrats, must be more nuanced, striving to avoid getting […] Read more »

Why Donald Trump is winning

There is a deep economic anxiety driving Republican voters toward the blunt-spoken presidential campaign of Donald J. Trump. It is more than just anger at the political class or rebellion against political correctness. It reflects decades of lost jobs and falling wages for a swath of blue-collar Americans, who saw […] Read more »