This edition of our daily tracking release features findings from a national online survey of 1,009 registered voters conducted May 7-May 12, 2020, and a combined dataset of 1,683 registered voters conducted May 4-May 11, 2020. • Over the past two months, Trump’s approval rating on handling the coronavirus pandemic […] Read more »
Coronavirus’ double bind on older workers could squeeze Trump
… In a new national CNN poll released Tuesday morning, only 42% of seniors from all races approved of either the President’s handling of the coronavirus outbreak or his overall job performance. On both counts, that was his lowest rating among any group except adults 34 and younger — traditionally […] Read more »
Uniqueness of coronavirus ‘doesn’t mean the news is good for Trump’ in 2020
538’s Nate Silver on whether or not he thinks a bad economy hurts an incumbent president’s chances for reelection. This Week, ABC News The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »
The strong economy didn’t make Trump, but coronavirus collapse could break him
The last time an incumbent president lost reelection — George H.W. Bush, in 1992 — an “it’s the economy, stupid” campaign theme took him down. Unemployment then was hovering around 7.5%. In the calamitous spring of 2020, that sounds like a long-lost boomtime. The Labor Department last week reported unemployment […] Read more »
Worsening Economic Numbers Belied By Irrational Exuberance
… Partisanship drives irrational exuberance. Whether (or not) you believe in a fast recovery depends on your political stripes. Indeed, 58% of Republicans believe that there will be a fast recovery, while only 32% of Democrats think the same. CONT. Clifford Young, Ipsos The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown […] Read more »
Over 33 million Americans lost their job during the pandemic. 77% believe they’ll get it back
… The vast majority of laid-off or furloughed workers — 77 percent — expect to be rehired by their previous employer once the stay-at-home orders in their area are lifted, according to a nationwide Washington Post-Ipsos poll. Nearly 6 in 10 say it is “very likely” they will get their […] Read more »