There’s Work Ahead if Bush Does Run; He’s at 14% in a Fragmented GOP Field

Jeb Bush has his work cut out for him, a new ABC News/Washington Post poll finds – but no more than any of the other potential Republican presidential hopefuls for 2016. Fourteen percent of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents who are registered to vote support Bush for the GOP presidential nomination. […] Read more »

Top 5 political predictions for 2015

1. The Obama boom will finally arrive. Only it will be more like a boomlet. Americans have been waiting for the boom since they elected President Barack Obama in the teeth of the 2008 financial meltdown. … Now we’re deep into Obama’s second term. Where’s da boom? It’s finally starting. […] Read more »

Establishment revenge? Jeb Bush, Romney lead GOP field for ’16

Jeb Bush, who’s seriously considering a 2016 presidential bid, has sprinted to the front of the Republican field in a new McClatchy-Marist Poll. Former GOP nominee Mitt Romney remains on top, with Bush, a former Florida governor, a close second. Take away Romney, and Bush leads the field. CONT. David […] Read more »

A Test of Presidential Timber

Four potential Republican candidates for president ran into a nasty case of mode effects Tuesday. The results, for them, were not pretty. The term “mode effects” refers to differing results when surveys are done different ways. In this case it’s the difference between a printed ballot – Tuesday’s national exit […] Read more »