It was easy to see Jeb Bush’s path to the Republican nomination when he announced the formation of his super PAC in December. He wasn’t guaranteed to pull it off — not by any stretch — but he seemed well positioned to appeal to the coalition of party elites and […] Read more »
The Legacy Trap
… Compared with Bill Clinton’s era, the Democratic Party today is more culturally liberal and economically populist. Compared with George W. Bush’s era, the GOP is more dogmatically committed to shrinking government. These changes have presented Hillary Clinton and Jeb Bush with the common puzzle of appealing to parties that […] Read more »
Jeb Bush: ‘I don’t read the polls’
Jeb Bush on Wednesday expressed frustration with the press over its obsession with the horse race aspect of the presidential race, telling reporters that it’s too early to be poll-watching and encouraged them to focus on more important matters. … “I don’t read the polls,” Bush said Wednesday. “Polls are, […] Read more »
Top Dogs and Underdogs
Another political analyst and I recently decided just for fun to write down what percentage chance we would give the top contenders for the Republican presidential nomination. … Obviously, this is a business where surprises are more the norm than the exception, but a field of 15 to 20 candidates […] Read more »
Romney Had Problems With Conservatives. Jeb’s May Be Worse
Jeb Bush may have a lot of advantages as the 2016 race begins – money, name recognition, a network of supporters. But Mr. Bush has a problem with conservatives. How bad is it? Compare his standing to that of 2012 Republican nominee Mitt Romney, who famously struggled to win over […] Read more »
Jeb Goes from Fragile Frontrunner to Underdog
With each passing day, Jeb Bush looks weaker and weaker. While he has a top notch political team and (reportedly) tons of cash, he is dropping, not, rising in the polls. For a party desperate to win back the White House, Bush is looking more and more like a risky […] Read more »