In An Era Of Trump, Do Campaign Fundamentals Matter?

At this point, it feels like we are in some kind of an alternative universe election where up is down, black is white and east is west. … Should we throw out all we know (or thought we knew) about politics? Do the so-called fundamentals we’ve all taken as political […] Read more »

Those Renegade Republicans

Is the Republican Party going rogue? It’s hard to look at the opinion polling in the GOP presidential nomination contest and conclude anything else. As unexpected as many of the developments on the Democratic side have been, it doesn’t hold a candle to what is unfolding among the Republicans. CONT. […] Read more »

What have Bush, Clinton learned from voters’ attraction to the outsiders?

At the beginning of this year, the Annenberg Public Policy Center at the University of Pennsylvania sponsored a focus group in the Denver suburbs composed of a dozen adults — Republicans, Democrats and independents. Looking back almost nine months later, the two-hour discussion proved to be a prescient guide to […] Read more »

Trump’s Image Up Sharply Among Republicans

Donald Trump’s net favorable rating among Republicans increased significantly over the past two weeks, putting him among the top six Republicans overall on this measure. Ted Cruz’s image also improved, while Carly Fiorina’s and Ben Carson’s images remain significantly better than they were before the Aug. 6 debate. John Kasich, […] Read more »