Despite an impending impeachment trial and a controversial move to kill a powerful Iranian military general, the partisan divides that have defined President Donald Trump’s tenure remain seemingly unmoved. When it comes to Trump’s approval rating, whether he should be removed from office, or if he has done a good […] Read more »
How Will Independents Break on Iran?
The standoff between the United States and Iran at one point looked quite possibly like the beginning of a war. Now both sides have wisely pulled back from the brink, at least for the time being. But when it comes to public opinion, Iran is hardly an isolated event, for […] Read more »
Presidents used to get an approval rating bump after military strikes. Here’s why Trump likely won’t.
Presidents have historically seen a bump in their approval ratings during a military crisis, but the partisanship that has gripped the country in recent years has stunted that traditional bump in the polls. That evidence suggests President Donald Trump’s approval rating — which has lingered in the lower to mid […] Read more »
Majority of Americans disapprove of Trump’s handling of Iran, feel less safe after strike
In a week dominated by increased tension with Iran and speculation over when impeachment articles would be delivered to the U.S. Senate, a majority of Americans said they disapprove of President Trump’s handling of the situation with Iran and feel less safe, according to a new ABC News/Ipsos poll. But […] Read more »
Iran, Impeachment, and Iowa
Between the events unfolding in Iran and the Iowa causes, there’s a lot to digest this week. Astead Herndon of The New York Times and Clare Malone of FiveThirtyEight join Politics with Amy Walter to provide an update on the state of the Democratic Primary. Plus, Thanassis Cambanis of the […] Read more »
And Then There Were Five…
In our first episode of 2020, we preview the seventh Democratic primary debate. Plus, we discuss the role endorsements and fundraising play in predicting the ultimate primary winner, and how the developing situation in Iran might influence the 2020 race. The Forecast Fest Read more »