There are two phases to the Israeli election that starts Tuesday. The first: electing some politicians. That’s the relatively easy part to forecast. The second: Figuring out who’s going to govern with whom. That is what’s really hard to predict. CONT. Carl Bialik & Harry Enten, FiveThirtyEight Read more »
Russia’s anti-U.S. sentiment now is even worse than it was in Soviet Union
Thought the Soviet Union was anti-American? Try today’s Russia. After a year in which furious rhetoric has been pumped across Russian airwaves, anger toward the United States is at its worst since opinion polls began tracking it. From ordinary street vendors all the way up to the Kremlin, a wave […] Read more »
Response to Argentine Prosecutor’s Death Highlights Polarization and Mistrust of Institutions
On January 18, 2015, only hours before presenting his case against current Argentine President Cristina Fernández de Kirchner in a special parliamentary hearing, federal prosecutor Alberto Nisman was found dead in his Puerto Madero apartment from a single gunshot wound to the head. Nisman had been investigating the devastating 1994 […] Read more »
How Russia props up Putin in the polls
Russian President Vladimir Putin’s popularity appears to resist the laws of political physics. Despite the price of oil sinking below $50 a barrel and the Russian economy falling into a tailspin, Putin’s approval ratings hover above 80 percent, seemingly defying gravity. But the numbers should not be taken at face […] Read more »
U.S. Markets Favored by Investors, Bright Spot in Dim Global Economy: Bloomberg Poll
International investors are the most bullish they’ve been on the U.S. markets in more than five years as America is seen as a bright spot in an otherwise worsening global economy, according to the latest Bloomberg poll. CONT. Rich Miller, Bloomberg Read more »
The use and abuse of opinion polls
… As a pollster I naturally want politicians – and everyone else – to take our figures seriously. We help the public to speak and, we hope, politicians to listen. As democrats, we believe in the importance of the dialogue between voters and those who aspire to govern them. When […] Read more »