The facts have changed, so I have changed my mind. Until last week I expected the Conservatives to remain the largest party in next month’s election. Now the contest looks too close to call. CONT. Peter Kellner, YouGov Read more »
Living by numbers: YouGov and the power of the pollsters
The last time Peter Kellner forecast the result on the eve of a major British vote he was accused of costing UK taxpayers tens of billions of pounds. For much of the Scottish referendum campaign, the outcome had seemed a foregone conclusion. Yet on 7 September – 11 days before […] Read more »
Despite Optimism, Many Cubans Still Wish To Leave, Secret Poll Finds
NPR’s Melissa Block talks to Fernand Amandi about how his research firm was able to conduct a secret, comprehensive poll in Cuba without the Cuban government knowing about it. NPR News Read more »
Surveying Cubans under the Castro government
How do you conduct a reliable public opinion poll in a closely monitored society where political dissent is strictly repressed? That was the significant hurdle for the Univision Noticias/Fusion poll of Cubans, reported in collaboration with The Washington Post. CONT. Peyton M. Craighill, Washington Post Read more »
Top 25 findings from major Cuba survey
In an historic new poll of Cuba, Fusion found that Cubans are overwhelmingly supportive of normalizing relations with the U.S., optimistic about their future—and bigger fans of Barack Obama than either Castro brother. The poll—considered to be the biggest and most comprehensive independent public opinion study conducted on the island […] Read more »
The Billionaire Baron Who Has Transformed How We Understand The U.K. Election
A conservative British tycoon and aristocrat is not the typical profile of a man of the people. But Lord Michael Ashcroft has done more than anyone else to find out who the people want to represent them in Parliament. In the lead-up to next month’s big national election in the […] Read more »