… In many other democracies parties, not voters, select candidates. In these other democracies, we do not see more radical candidates, like Trump, rise to prominent positions within the party because members of the party fall in line behind party leaders. … The U.S. two-party system has no room for […] Read more »
How to Hack an Election
… For eight years, [Andrés] Sepúlveda, now 31, says he traveled the continent rigging major political campaigns. … Sepúlveda’s career began in 2005, and his first jobs were small—mostly defacing campaign websites and breaking into opponents’ donor databases. Within a few years he was assembling teams that spied, stole, and […] Read more »
British Polling Council Inquiry Report
The British Polling Council welcomes the publication today of the report of the Independent Inquiry into the performance of the polls in the May 2015 general election. … The principal objective of the Council is to promote transparency in the reporting of opinion polls, and its members are required to […] Read more »
Yes, you can trust international surveys. Mostly.
How do you know when research is based on falsified data? That’s one of the challenges faced throughout statistical research. Noble Kuriakose and I authored a paper (forthcoming in the Statistical Journal of the IAOS) that outlines a technique to detect potential fraud in public opinion surveys. … A useful […] Read more »
Le Pen, Berlusconi and the Triggers for Trumpism
… Mr. Trump blurs the left/right ideological divide, combining extreme views on issues like immigration with more moderate positions on others like Social Security and Medicare. He’s pulled this off by bypassing the American party system (with few exceptions, the G.O.P. establishment has not supported Mr. Trump) and substituting a […] Read more »
Can We Trust the Opinion Polls? cont.
… In the final part of a series examining the role of opinion polling in British politics, David Cowling asks if polling will be more reliable in future and if the industry can restore its reputation in the wake of its errors at the last general election. CONT. BBC Radio […] Read more »