China has emerged as a global economic superpower in recent decades. It is not only the world’s second largest economy and the largest exporter by value, but it has also been investing in overseas infrastructure and development at a rapid clip as part of its Belt and Road Initiative. A […] Read more »
How do pollsters predict UK general election results?
FT data journalist John Burn-Murdoch explains how researchers such as YouGov use MRP, or multi-level regression post-stratification polling, as the best way of showing how big national polls translate at the local level – and to predict who will win the most seats. Financial Times Read more »
Ipsos MORI UK Election 2019 Podcast, Ep. 4
Keiran Pedley is joined by Asa Bennett, of The Telegraph and author of the book Romanifesto. Ipsos MORI Read more »
Would Republican senators ever vote to convict Trump? Here’s what we can learn from the rest of the world.
… In parliamentary systems, the legislative majority party selects the government leader. Those parties can “fire” their own prime minister if he or she grows unpopular. … This is why a president’s party so infrequently supports impeachment: Doing so tends to hurt the party more than it helps. Only in […] Read more »
Canada’s pollsters nailed the outcome of the federal election – mostly
Politicians and pundits love nothing more than to say the polls can’t be trusted. After all, the numbers frequently get in the way of talking points or convenient narratives. But in the 2019 federal election, the polls did pretty well — and where they didn’t, they offer clues about what […] Read more »
Attitudes toward EU are largely positive, both within Europe and outside it
The European Union is viewed favorably across much of the world, according to a new Pew Research Center survey. A median of 58% of adults across 33 surveyed countries have a favorable opinion of the EU, while just 27% hold an unfavorable view. In the 19 non-EU countries surveyed, attitudes […] Read more »