A majority of U.S. adults, 58%, say a third U.S. political party is needed because the Republican and Democratic parties “do such a poor job” representing the American people. These views are little changed from last year’s high. Since 2007, a majority has typically called for a third party. CONT. […] Read more »
Amid Crucial Senate Race, Alaskans’ Independence Grows
Amid a tight race for a U.S. Senate seat from Alaska, a growing proportion of Alaskans, now 59%, identify as political independents. At the same time, there are recent lows in the percentage of Alaskans identifying as Republicans (25%) and the percentage identifying as Democrats (13%). These shifts create a […] Read more »
Upheaval In The Kansas Senate Race Is Making Our Chart Kinky
If you’ve revisited our Senate forecast landing page, you may have noticed something a little different. The probability distribution showing how many Senate seats the Republicans might end up with is no longer a nice bell-shape-type curve. Instead, it has a kink. What’s going on here? Why are Republicans more […] Read more »
The Senate Race In Kansas Just Got Crazy
The past few weeks haven’t produced much good news for Democrats’ hopes of retaining the Senate. … Kansas, however, had become an under-the-radar opportunity for Democrats. The Republican incumbent there, Pat Roberts, barely survived his primary and has extremely low approval ratings. Several recent polls had put the race in […] Read more »
The political middle still matters
While increased polarization among Republicans and Democrats at both ends of the ideological spectrum has created a sense of unending gridlock in Washington, the parties face a different kind of challenge in the upcoming midterm elections and beyond: how to appeal to the majority of Americans who are somewhere in […] Read more »
Party Identification Varies Widely Across the Age Spectrum
Young Americans in their 20s and 30s today share two important political characteristics — they are the most likely of any age group to eschew identification with either party, and, among those who do have a political identity, they are the most likely, along with older baby boomers, to tilt […] Read more »