So many things about this election are unprecedented — and one of the most obvious is how much voters dislike the candidates. By now, everyone knows that this year features the two most unpopular presumptive major-party candidates on record. But in some ways, Americans’ dislike of the presidential candidates isn’t […] Read more »
Why Polls on Third-Party Candidates Aren’t Always Accurate
The 2016 presidential race features two unpopular candidates: both Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton have unprecedentedly low favorability ratings for major-party candidates. The possibility that a large percentage of voters will not vote for either candidate may lead to a serious third-party challenger, something not seen since Ross Perot’s 1992 […] Read more »
Are the voters really mad as hell?
… If there’s a new “silent majority” in the nation, they are not tea party activists or Millennials feeling the “Bern.” They are the tens of millions of Americans who are not angry, but remaining silent. In Iowa this year — despite all the buildup, the TV commercials and the […] Read more »
Gary Johnson’s Fight for 15 (Percent)
Whatever metric you use – whether it’s the historically high negatives for Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton; the overwhelming desire by voters for change and their mistrust of establishment politicians; or the 71% of voters who say this country is on the wrong track, according to the latest Wall Street […] Read more »
Democrats Don’t Have to Come Home for Clinton to Win
… For Clinton to win, she needs Democrats to remain at a solid advantage over Republicans as a share of the electorate (this is what most current polls are showing); retain the loyalty of Democratic voters; and not lose independents by too large of a margin. For Trump to win, […] Read more »
A Primary That Pitted Democrats Against Independents
As Bernie Sanders reaffirms his pledge to contest the Democratic presidential nomination all the way through July’s party convention, one of his fundamental obstacles remains his consistent weakness among voters who identify as actual Democrats. Results from the exit polls conducted in 27 states through the nominating contest so far […] Read more »