I don’t trust anyone who tells me they already know the makeup of the midterm electorate. We can’t possibly know who will vote in the fall, let alone how they will cast their ballots. If I were going to focus on a handful of variables to understand how the cycle […] Read more »
If Democrats Are Doing so Great, Why Don’t They Have a Bigger Lead on Generic Ballot?
Every day, it seems, another warning light goes off on the GOP’s dashboard, a blinking reminder of their ensuing troubles for 2018. There are a record number of GOP retirements — including that of House Speaker Ryan. Democratic challengers are outraising GOP incumbents. And, of course, there’s the most recent […] Read more »
Why do people belong to a party? Negative views of the opposing party are a major factor
For both Republicans and Democrats, the top reason to belong to a party is a belief that its policies will benefit the country. But sizable majorities in both parties cite the other party’s harmful policies as a major factor, according to a new national survey. And for independents who lean […] Read more »
Are Republicans Ready to Join a Third Party?
Want to know what a lot of Republicans have been thinking about in the days leading up to Donald Trump’s first State of the Union address to a Republican-controlled Congress? A new party. … In a world in which Alabama voters elected a Democratic senator, all kinds of previously unimaginable […] Read more »
A Problem for Republicans Fighting to Keep California House Seats: Trump
With California looming as a critical battleground in the Democratic campaign to capture Congress, vulnerable Republican House members here are now struggling under the weight of President Trump’s unpopularity and policies, which are widely viewed as damaging to this heavily Democratic state. … It has long been a tough climb […] Read more »
Highest GOP Satisfaction With U.S. Direction Since 2007
About six in 10 Republicans (61%) say they are satisfied with the way things are going in the U.S. — the party’s highest level of satisfaction since February 2007. This latest uptick comes on the heels of a major victory on tax reform for the president and congressional Republicans at […] Read more »